Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOGE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.076712 0.089370 0.103390 0.120061 0.139335 0.160912 0.186893
2024-10-06 0.059216 0.076444 0.097470 0.124981 0.159988 0.203013 0.259883
2024-10-13 0.048022 0.067298 0.092718 0.128600 0.177855 0.243003 0.335638
2024-10-20 0.038168 0.057329 0.084300 0.124878 0.184221 0.267658 0.393717
2024-10-27 0.031158 0.049723 0.077382 0.121365 0.189313 0.290027 0.450338
2024-11-03 0.027326 0.046015 0.075292 0.124181 0.203442 0.326485 0.531490
2024-11-10 0.024864 0.043958 0.075261 0.129893 0.222398 0.372093 0.631923
2024-11-17 0.022345 0.041339 0.073826 0.132899 0.237032 0.412145 0.727794
2024-11-24 0.019850 0.038333 0.071233 0.133410 0.247240 0.445669 0.816208
2024-12-01 0.017610 0.035421 0.068345 0.132883 0.255328 0.476132 0.902381
2024-12-08 0.015571 0.032562 0.065128 0.131225 0.260960 0.502560 0.983881
2024-12-15 0.014489 0.031423 0.064987 0.135353 0.277889 0.551362 1.112292
2024-12-22 0.013496 0.030353 0.064908 0.139736 0.296147 0.605274 1.257968
2024-12-29 0.012648 0.029468 0.065091 0.144681 0.316172 0.664931 1.422121
2025-01-05 0.011796 0.028442 0.064831 0.148636 0.334584 0.723333 1.590343
2025-01-12 0.010387 0.025928 0.061004 0.144291 0.334624 0.743723 1.681054
2025-01-19 0.009183 0.023709 0.057523 0.140230 0.334712 0.764071 1.773745
2025-01-26 0.008603 0.022921 0.057224 0.143466 0.351702 0.822964 1.958153
2025-02-02 0.008275 0.022716 0.058275 0.150038 0.377235 0.903608 2.200708
2025-02-09 0.007792 0.022033 0.058067 0.153495 0.395710 0.970040 2.417455
2025-02-16 0.007202 0.020977 0.056785 0.154083 0.407199 1.021308 2.603714
2025-02-23 0.006614 0.019834 0.055126 0.153477 0.415597 1.066031 2.778901
2025-03-02 0.006028 0.018606 0.053077 0.151570 0.420398 1.102422 2.937317